Test-time Compute & Reasoning
The 2024 discovery: models get smarter by thinking longer.
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Reasoning models produce long internal chains of thought before answering, and accuracy scales with how much compute they spend thinking — a new scaling axis alongside model size and data. o1 introduced it; R1 open-sourced it; every frontier model now has a thinking mode. The infrastructure consequence is enormous: a single hard question can cost thousands of times more tokens than a chat reply, shifting demand from training clusters to inference fleets.
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Record reviewed as of 2026-01-15 — see Methodology.