{"data":{"slug":"agi-timelines","etype":"concept","name":"AGI Timelines & Predictions","cat":"Future & AGI","subtitle":"Who predicts what, by when — on the record.","summary":"Attributed forecasts as of early 2026: Altman — AGI-relevant systems 'within a few years,' superintelligence worth aiming at; Amodei — 'powerful AI' possibly 2026–27 with transformative effects; Hassabis — roughly 5–10 years to true AGI; Musk — repeatedly earlier; LeCun — human-level needs new architectures, decades plausible; Hinton — shortened his estimates and worries accordingly; surveyed ML researchers' medians sit in the 2040s–2060s and moved earlier after 2022; forecasting platforms cluster in the 2030s. The scenario essay 'AI 2027' dramatized the fast end. Every date here is a quoted claim, not a site prediction — see Future for context.","attrs":null,"kf":null,"aliases":["AI predictions","AI timelines","AI 2027"],"ticker":null,"exchange":null,"hq":null,"founded":null,"website":null,"status":null,"region":null,"asof":"2026-01-15","sources":[{"url":"https://aiimpacts.org/","label":"AI Impacts expert surveys"},{"url":"https://ai-2027.com/","label":"AI 2027 scenario essay"}]},"meta":{"found":true,"count":1,"served_from":"site cache (no live upstream calls)","as_of":"2026-10-14T06:50:17+00:00","disclaimer":"Research and information only — not investment advice. Structured records carry basis labels (vendor spec / reported / estimate); market quotes are delayed/indicative.","attribution":"Records compiled from vendor documentation, official filings and reputable public reporting; market quotes via financial data providers. See /data-sources."}}